Most of his miscalculations are trigger happy overreactions to common slumps and overvaluing prime players, because he doesnt realize the extra value hes trying to quantify is the consistency they bring in being a star player. If his performance stays this high he will make over $80 million in his pre-arb year and those 4 arb years. Sure, they have control of Fried/Wright (even via arb), but Strider is the first long-term arm. They're projected to have a league-high $61.7 million in salary-cap space, . $8M (2025) Saying the Braves arent respected is to play the victim for victims sake. He sought treatment through medication, but wasn't seeing the improvement he wanted. Betting Picks; . Jean Segura, MIA. Harvey was highly regarded as top prospect while Strider was considered middle reliever until may. $22M (2027) Id bet serious coin Swanson wont give up the money some GM who still believes in career years will throw at him. The Marlins are one new owner away from being elite. Drafting and developing pitchers is a crap shoot no doubt and Atlanta has had their failures along the way. Harper was a huge part of that. Think hell get significantly longer offers than 3 years Sid. Have the Braves not noticed how many of their young pitchers have fallen apart after 2-3 years over the last two decades? It doesnt benefit both parties, Alex A. is a moron that has signed so many extensions that even with all the great deals he got done, the average $$$ is pushing $180M after only 15 of the contracts. $1M (2024) The facts say you are wrong. Spencer Strider only appeared in one game for the Braves last season and was not very well-known around the league. If Spencer doesnt get any better than he currently is, hes still an ace. Striders dominance has positioned him as one of the two favorites for National League Rookie of the Year honors, as he and teammate Harris are widely viewed as the presumptive first- and second-place finishers in an extremely strong year for rookies (both in the NL and in MLB as a whole). The Braves need to go all-in now when the NL East is weak. Actually, you are totally wrong. Look at the alternative, pay for TOR stuff like DET did in the offseason with Rodriguez (5 years/77M) and he was AWOL for much of the season in the 1st year of his deal. See more salaries for 2021. Meanwhile the Mets toss money at aging crap. These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off in our systems. $25M (2027) Yes, it would be more pricey that way, but its worth it to mitigate the good majority of the risk. And like I said before, he wouldnt even qualify for the ERA title. I cannot wait for the Braves/Phillies series to start in a few hours. Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN). This is how a Mets fan copes with his team getting bounced lmao. They signed him to a lucrative six-year, $75 million extension on October 10. Lots and lots and lots of people that dont realize what being in the top 2 of ROY voting means for service time. The point isnt whether this ends up being a bad deal, its that it follows bad process. He also only had 10 starts. So he still would not have been a Super Two. Padres fans loved it in 2017 when they locked him up, but carrying the last 3 years of that deal was brutal for them. Atlanta Braves rookie pitcher Spencer Strider had himself a day against the Reds on Saturday - he struck out 11 hitters in just six innings of work and got the win to improve to 4-2 on the. Baseball will become a joke as far as competition is concerned. It doesnt pertain to him except for bonus money. 2 things: For that to be a reasonable number requires him to stay healthy for the whole contract, which would lower his free agent value as it would almost assuredly mean he will have some form of arm injury. Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database. Good grief. Have to disagree that Baez and Story have more upside than Swanson at this point in their careers. Past that, I think all these extensions are based on the character of the player as much as talent. Doesnt take a genius to see which one is better for the team. Have a better case that shows why you would gamble paying $53M for three arb years to save $8M in free agency? Would an arbitrator just look at a base salary as the springboard for a raise, or would they consider the bonuses as part of the salary when making those decisions? The team has 15 players, none of which are Swanson, taking up $180M of their payroll in 2023. And it becomes contagious in the clubhouse imo. The Mets only have one tool in the toolbox and that tool is green if you know what I mean. He was the top freshman at Clemson in 2018 before joining MLB, but he missed the season in 2019 due to an injury. He had two pre-arb years left and then 3 arb years before the extension. Harper sold and sells lots of tickets etc and great pr. Yep. I think that $40M is more like $45M, So they paid him a bonus of $25M in order to obtain a 1+1 extension for $22M + $22M, with a $5M buyout. You dont need to extend Grissom. Go Braves! These guys are used to winning together, and I would expect that to continue. LOL best rookie season ever. You dont pay max arb prices to save $8M. Many thanks to him. Played 2019 w/a bad heel. Only one thing is certain: his grandmother is a huge Cleveland Indians fan. Balance has been restored, and that means everyone taking part in a Head-to-Head points salary cap draft may actually want to do his own thing again. Why would Swanson get Story or Baez money? Atlanta would have a franchise-record payroll in 2023 even if the only moves made by the front office were to simply tender arbitration contracts to their eligible players. It happens, occasionally. You make deals based on current results and future expectations. He is likely to finish 2nd in NL ROY to teammate Michael Harris II, which means both get credited with a full year of service for 2022 regardless of whether they were brought up late or stayed on the roster all season. So he was arb eligible for the first time during the same offseason that he would have been eligible if the Cubs never manipulated his service time. Hes a big union guy. Hes getting old and is owed a good chunk of change still. A visual look at how Spencer Strider ranks across the league, conference, division, and team. Bigger pitchers hold up better, thicker pitchers hold up better. I feel bad for all of the players not being drafted because the owners have shortened the draft. Also, Swanson played all 60 games in 2020 and he missed only 2 games total in the 21-22 seasons. Talk about betting on your good judgment! It wouldnt be fair to the rest of the players. By comparison the Mariners sign Castillo at roughly $22M/year with a $5M option if he needs TJ surgery in the last 3 years with 80% of the contract covering FA years and coming with a similar option year. Then add in the two FA years the Braves control at $22 million each, and this deal is great for the Braves. Im sure a non-GM telling someone they dont have what it takes to be a GM, carries a lot of weight! While Steve offers a hypothesis of free agent years costing $40M or more annually, the reality is Scherzer may be the best pitcher of his generation, Kershaw and Verlander included and his $40M was clearly an overpay, evem on a short deal. Not a fan of it, but thats the way it works. The lot of before money is hopeful at best. anybody signing Swanson for 6/120 will regret it. I expect to see him elsewhere next year. BTV? He made his MLB debut in 2021. The difference is he was arb eligible a fourth time after 2020 rather than being a free agent outright. With that being said, I agree with Atlantas approach here overall but there is still a fair amount of risk involved when extending young players so early in their careers. Feb 22, 2023 at 3:11 pm ET 1 min read. Many of the projections I saw had the Braves winning the division. Dont know what thats worth, but its not nothin. You can project him to approach or even set some combination of Arb1, Arb2 and Arb3 records, and Strider would still probably come in under $50MM and thats assuming health and sustained dominance. By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 11:03pm CDT. He has not stated how much he was paid by the teams while getting picked by the MLB. Almost everyone gave up on the Braves when they were 10.5 games back in the NL East. They lost in the playoffs, winning 101 games isnt a collapse. I wouldnt be surprised if he was pitching injured. This deal will be the one people talk about for 10-20 years as the contract that forced bidding wars for starting pitchers. For the fans sake, I hope ownership realizes the value of spending some money and they re-sign Swanson. Strider has two pitches and has started for 2/3 of a season. Its just false. Obviously there are others, but these two usually seem to have reasonable and unbiased thoughts on their rivals. I was comparing their first full seasons. Sure, but then what if in those 2 years he continues putting up league-high K-rates, gets Cy votes (or wins), AS selections that increases his value exponentially, if he even wants to extend at that point. MFF thing is, for Swanson the Braves arent going to go near what hell be offered elsewhere. If Swanson signs a $110-115MM extension, hes probably leaving at least $40MM on the table. Its still a win for both player and team, but the glut of long-term deals does inflate the Braves luxury ledger more quickly than a year-by-year approach would. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising. Kudos to him if he wants to do it; cant blame him for being happy to take nine figures to stay with his hometown team and to stay with this core of players but there should be a lot more on the market for him than that. Its an expensive extension by prior standards, but as I noted in the finalized version of our breakdown, the prior standards were beyond antiquated. . YOU HAVE 20,000 FOLLOWERS: $100 per post at a $5/CPM. Im doing the same at the end of October. Not a super bargain like Albies Acuna but its fine. AAs notoriously quiet when negotiating. The extra year of service time for Top 2 in ROY voting means that combined with his full season on the Braves roster in 2022, Strider would be entering 2024 as Super Two eligible and the Braves would have a year less control. Peacock Sunday morning gamessome without announcers; Apple TV Fri night games). If that happens, he will have 2 years and 3 days of service time. No one here, or elsewhere, has any idea how that process is currently going w/Swanson. Wonder why they stupid overpay for him? And that is adding in a discount for Atlanta. Strider threw his changeup 109 times in 2022 and, among pitchers who threw at least that many, his 47.5% miss rate when . The earliest Strider could have been arb eligible was after 2024. You have? Hes top ten talent. I think thats not quite that straightforward. Strider averaged 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings - best in the big leagues - while posting an 11-5 record, 2.67 earned run average, and 202 strikeouts in 131 2/3 innings. Be disappointed if you are going to be anything Braves fans because soon youll see when he falls short of expectations, which is anything short of him becoming Pedro Martinez and hes no Pedro! Updated On January 29, 2023. You need to check your info. Please logout and login again. I would rather be a free agent vs being drafted in 30th round. 1st year $7.225 mm You know how you can tell you are wrong? The estimates above are crazy. On the surface it seems like the Braves have made several excellent long-term deals with young talent. Its a horrible deal, set your expectations to hate it now, so you are less annoyed in 3 years. Had the Yankees given Judge the same treatment after the 2017 season, we wouldnt be having Judge FA discussions. Be patient, dont retype your message, it will there in a minute, I think when this kid told the media after a loss to the Mets that they got cheap, bloop hits and were luckythen follows it up with well see how they are in October, spoke volumes on his make up and confidence. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. If he has any hope of living up to this contract, Strider will have to play the whole year on the MLB roster for 2023 without injuries. They cant keep getting away with robbery forever. They just gave him $53M for his 3 arb years. Hard throwing pitchers get seriously injured a lot. Yeah, then every utility bench player with a heart of gold should make $10-15M a year. Thats the salary of players in year 2 and 3. Essentially they trade the risk that he gets hurt and produces nothing in one or more years for the free first free agent year, and the discounted second free agent year assuming hes healthy. MLB Player Spencer Strider has $1 million dollar net worth as of 2022, image source; SportsTalk ATL.com. Spencer Strider's net worth $1 million. Again, he IS a Super Two. Spencer Strider's net worth is $76,667,934. He will finish 2023 with 2 years and 3 days of service time not even close to the top 22% of players in his class.
How To Hook A Trailer To A Farm Tractor, Disboard Invite Not Working, Articles S