bellwether counties epoch times

High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high-scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. Although longtime county residents say that Wood County is in pretty good shape overallas there has been some recent industrial development on its north sideit also has been affected by national issues such as inflation, the price of gasoline, supply chain issues, and workforce shortages. The counties are also mostly small and rural. Trump wasnt Tom TO Fitchs first choice in the 2016 primaryhe voted for Sen. Ted Cruz. Of the 19 bellwether counties that have consistently voted for the presidential winner since 1980, all but one chose Trump, the Journal found, PJ Media reported. A small-business owner, who didnt want to be identified, said hes voting for Biden. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. I think we needed somebody like him.. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. She can be reached at cara.ding@epochtimes.com, Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Suburban Wisconsin Voters Divided on Presidential Race. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. One older woman with a Biden sign outside her home simply said, Im voting for Biden, and thats all Ive got to say.. It seems that Im having to think about whos lying the least, Myers said. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the nineteen counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. Hamilton had already cast his vote for Biden on the first day of early voting. In a video posted to Twitter on Thursday, Trump 2020 Campaign Senior Advisor for Strategy Steve Cortes took a deep dive into the 2020 election data regarding President Donald Trump's overwhelmingly dominant performance in the United States' bellwether counties, adding to the statistical improbability of a Joe Biden electoral victory. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Enforce the ones that you do have, he said. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. Hes probably the best candidate out there for whats going on in our country right now, Martin said. However, in the 2020 primary election, more Democrats had turned out to vote3,413 to 2,598 Republicans, usually an indicator of how the presidential election is going to go, party officials believe. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Supreme Court nominees also matter a lot to Myers in this election. He said hes concerned but hopeful for the future. We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. Westmoreland is the only one of the counties in the South, Clallam is the only one on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. I dont think he has done that bad of a job. The legislature of Orange County, New York, unanimously passed a revised spending plan of close to $75 million in federal COVID-19 . The Fall of the Bellwether Counties This article is part of a series on Identifying Electoral Fraud Using Trend Analysis. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? He told The Epoch Times that hes facing workforce shortages and currently only has 18 cookshalf of what he normally would have. He isnt happy that Biden called Trump names during the first debate. Seasonal businesses such as ferries, dairy docks, ice cream stands, Cheesehaven, and fudge factories, are closed. We were as far down to five cooks last year. January 5, 2021: Rep. Jordan attacks "liberal judges" and state officials for their role in the election. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. He says hell vote for Trump. Those are the biggest issuesthe economy and national security. He loves his country to the point where he wants it to do well.. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. Moreover, if we look at the political features of the bellwethers, we do not find them exclusively among counties that are highly politically competitive. . I hope.. A bellwether is a leader or an indicator of trends.. Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. If it is not demographically representative counties or politically competitive counties which are the bellwethers, why then do we find bellwethers? If this thing continues, were going to be paying $6 a gallon for gas, he said. And to force somebody to do it, it just makes even less sense, because this country is supposed to be free.. Eleven of the nineteen were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. Our mission is to put on honest elections.. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. Their fear is real, mine is. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. . Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain that reputation. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. Right now, its horrible. Things happen for a reason, and its out of our control until things change, Brendon told The Epoch Times. Until we have term limits for politicians, this country doesnt have a prayer.. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average. He worked for a tree service company for some years, but was laid off again. bellwether. With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. Its crazy. Not as large or as well-known as its more eastern cousin, Luzerne County, where much of the election attention has been focused, Elk County is just as accurate in predicting who will be the next commander in chief. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. This includes personalizing content and advertising. And its just so easy to snowball it to where chances are, if youre not very careful and work very hard in the other direction, you may just [continue a life of crime].. Now, its the situation with Russias invasion of Ukraine and how that might affect the world and its economies. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Here's why. The sentiments of those arriving at or leaving the Kroger grocery down the street in Port Clinton echoed those at the gas station. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. He has since assessed each candidate on their moral stances, he said, rather than by party affiliation. The county, which includes spring and summer destinations such as Kelleys Island, Marblehead, and Put-in-Bay, currently is in hibernation. Greg Abbott of Texas as a possible presidential candidate. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. She thinks economic distress from COVID-19 will fuel more unrest. Rob Portmans seat, Coppeler said. And just a few miles outside the countys urban center of Terre Haute, youll find a sprawl of soybean and corn farms, with a rural demographic that often leans Republican. It is as if the devastating rebuttals by Tufte in Data Analysis for Politics and Policy or the equally devastating review of the evidence in David A. Hopkins 2017 book Red Fighting Blue never happened. One such claim is that Trumps victories in 2020 in the vast bulk of the counties that had previously been labeled as bellwethers proved that Trump really won the election and was denied the victory because of fraud. Titchner, a Vietnam veteran, has been painting houses for 45 years and said he votes based on the candidate, rather than the party. Hes an elitist and just couldnt keep his mouth shut. America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Natural gas is a key ingredient in the process used to make the nitrogen-based fertilizer used on crops such as corn and wheat. Our model also links this decline to increases in polarization. We and the rest of the states boards of elections have been directed by the Ohio Secretary of States Office to hold the election on May 3. I tend to vote my morals, Myers told The Epoch Times. Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! We just couldnt believe that Trump had lost.. Im not happy with either party. Two states have announced recounts. Petr Svab is a reporter covering New York. Visual inspection suggests that, like other counties, they voted in 2020 roughly as they did in 2016; given this (and given that many of these counties went solidly for Trump in 2016), it is unsurprising that Biden won only one of them. TRENDING: Meet Samuel Armes - Groomed by the CIA and FBI and Author of the Original "1776 Returns" FED-SURRECTION Document - That He . In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they "tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole." Its gone, Jacobs said. We know that President Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 historic bellwether counties those that have regularly predicted the outcome of presidential contests. Im seeing more hate for this man than he has hated anyone, Tisdell said. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. This includes personalizing content and advertising.